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World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates

机译:世界农业供求估计

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WHEAT: The U.S. wheat and wheat-by-class balance sheets are unchanged this month. The projected range for the 2006/07 season-average farm price is also unchanged at $4.20 to 4.30 dolar per bushel. Global wheat production for 2006/07 is projected at 593.1 million tons, up 1.1 million from last month on higher production in India. Production for India is raised 1.4 million tons, more than offsetting a downward revision in EU-25 of 0.2 million tons. A small reduction in Former Soviet Union output accounts for the rest of this month's 2006/07 production changes. Global consumption is raised 1.2 million tons with increases for EU-25, India, and Australia. Higher wheat feeding in Australia is expected to offset some of the decline in sorghum production and pasture and forage availability as a result of the ongoing drought. Global exports are lowered 1.0 million tons this month, reflecting a like drop in EU-25 exports. Lower production and rising domestic consumption in EU-25 are expected to limit the availability of wheat for export. Global ending stocks for 2006/07 are raised 0.4 million tons as higher stocks in India and Australia more than offset a reduction in EU-25. An upward revision this month in 2005/06 production raises 2006/07 supplies and ending stocks for Australia. COARSE GRAINS: The U.S. feed grains balance sheets are unchanged this month. Projections for the com and sorghum season-average farm prices are unchanged at 3.00 dollar to 3.40 dollar per bushel and 3.10 dollar to 3.50 dollar per bushel, respectively. The barley farm price range is raised 10 cents on the bottom end to 2.85 dollar to 2.95 dollar per bushel, reflecting strong feed barley prices. The oats farm price is tightened 5 cents on each end of the range to 1.80 dollar to 1.90 dollar per bushel.
机译:小麦:本月美国小麦和按品种分类的资产负债表保持不变。 2006/07年度农场平均价格的预期范围也保持不变,为每蒲式耳4.20美元至4.30美元。预计2006/07年全球小麦产量为5.931亿吨,比上月增加110万吨,原因是印度产量提高。印度的产量提高了140万吨,超过了欧盟25国下调的20万吨的水平。前苏联产量的小幅减少是本月2006/07年度产量变动的其余部分。随着欧盟25国,印度和澳大利亚的增加,全球消费量增加了120万吨。由于持续干旱,预计澳大利亚较高的小麦饲喂量将抵消高粱产量,牧草和牧草供应量的部分下降。本月全球出口减少了100万吨,反映了EU-25出口的下降。欧盟25国的减产和国内消费的增加预计将限制小麦的出口量。 2006/07年全球期末库存增加了40万吨,因为印度和澳大利亚的库存增加足以抵消EU-25的减少。本月2005/06年度产量上调,增加了2006/07年度澳大利亚的供应量和期末库存。粗粮:本月美国饲料谷物的资产负债表保持不变。玉米和高粱季节平均农场价格的预测分别维持在每蒲式耳3.00美元至3.40美元和每蒲式耳3.10美元至3.50美元。大麦农场价格范围底端上调了10美分,至每蒲式耳2.85美元至2.95美元,反映出饲料大麦价格坚挺。燕麦农场价格每蒲式耳上调了5美分,至每蒲式耳1.80美元至1.90美元。

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