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首页> 外文期刊>Weather and forecasting >Determining the Extratropical Transition Onset and Completion Times of Typhoons Mindulle (2004) and Yagi (2006) Using Four Methods
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Determining the Extratropical Transition Onset and Completion Times of Typhoons Mindulle (2004) and Yagi (2006) Using Four Methods

机译:用四种方法确定台风民都乐(2004)和八木(2006)的温带过渡开始和完成时间

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摘要

Four methods for determining the extratropical transition (ET) onset and completion times of Typhoons Mindulle (2004) and Yagi (2006) were compared using four numerically analyzed datasets. The open-wave and scalar frontogenesis parameter methods failed to smoothly and consistently determine the ET completion from the four data sources, because some dependent factors associated with these two methods significantly impacted the results. Although the cyclone phase space technique succeeded in determining the ET onset and completion times, the ET onset and completion times of Yagi identified by this method exhibited a large distinction across the datasets, agreeing with prior studies. The isentropic potential vorticity method was also able to identify the ET onset times of both Mindulle and Yagi using all the datasets, whereas the ET onset time of Yagi determined by such a method differed markedly from that by the cyclone phase space technique, which may create forecast uncertainty.
机译:使用四个数值分析的数据集,比较了四种确定台风敏度(2004)和八木(2006)的温带过渡(ET)发生和完成时间的方法。由于与这两种方法相关的一些相关因素极大地影响了结果,因此开放波和标量前生参数方法无法从四个数据源中平稳一致地确定ET的完成情况。尽管旋风相空间技术成功地确定了ET的开始和完成时间,但是通过这种方法确定的八木的ET的开始和完成时间在整个数据集中表现出很大的差异,这与先前的研究一致。等熵势涡度方法还能够使用所有数据集识别Mindulle和Yagi的ET起始时间,而用这种方法确定的Yagi的ET起始时间与旋风相空间技术明显不同。预测不确定性。

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