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Robust Predictions in Infinite-Horizon Games—an Unrefinable Folk Theorem

机译:无限视域游戏中的稳健预测-不可修正的民间定理

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摘要

We show that in any game that is continuous at infinity, if a plan of action a_i is played by a type t_i in a Bayesian Nash equilibrium, then there are perturbations of t_i for which a_i is the only rationalizable plan and whose unique rationalizable belief regarding the play of the game is arbitrarily close to the equilibrium belief of t_i. As an application to repeated games, we prove an unrefinable folk theorem: any individually rational and feasible payoff is the unique rationalizable payoff vector for some perturbed type profile. This is true even if perturbed types are restricted to believe that the repeated-game payoff structure and the discount factor are common knowledge.
机译:我们证明,在任何无限连续的游戏中,如果行动计划a_i由贝叶斯纳什均衡中的类型t_i玩,那么t_i的扰动就是a_i是唯一可合理化的计划,并且其关于以下方面的独特的可合理化的信念游戏的玩法任意接近于t_i的均衡信念。作为重复游戏的一种应用,我们证明了一个无法完善的民间定理:对于某些受干扰的类型配置文件,任何单独的合理且可行的收益都是唯一合理的收益向量。即使将受干扰的类型限制为相信重复游戏的收益结构和折扣因子是公知知识,也是如此。

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