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A global perspective on Last Glacial Maximum to Holocene climate change

机译:上世纪末冰川对全新世气候变化的全球展望

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While the abrupt climate events of the last deglaciation are well defined in ice core records from the polar regions of both hemispheres, their manifestation elsewhere is less well constrained. Here we compile 104 high-resolution paleoclimate records to characterize the timing and spatial pattern of climate change during the last deglaciation. This compilation indicates relatively concurrent timing of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; peak glacial conditions) and the Altithermal (peak interglacial conditions) in the Northern (22.1 ± 4.3. ka and 8.0 ± 3.2. ka) and Southern (22.3 ± 3.6. ka and 7.4 ± 3.7. ka) Hemispheres, suggesting the hemispheres were synchronized by greenhouse gases, local insolation, and/or Northern Hemisphere induced ocean circulation changes. The magnitude of the glacial-interglacial temperature change increases with latitude, reflecting the polar amplification of climate change, with a likely minimum global mean cooling of ~-4.9 °C during the LGM relative to the Altithermal.Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis of 71 records spanning 19-11ka indicates that two modes explain 72% of deglacial climate variability. EOF1 (61% of variance) shows a globally near-uniform pattern, with its principal component (PC1) strongly correlated with changes in atmospheric CO_2. EOF2 (11% of variance) exhibits a bipolar seesaw pattern between the hemispheres, with its principal component (PC2) resembling changes in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation strength. EOF analysis of 90 records from 15 to 11ka indicates that northern and southern modes of climate variability characterize the Younger Dryas-B?lling/Aller?d interval. These modes dominate at the higher latitudes of each hemisphere and exhibit a complex interaction in the tropics. The magnitude of the Younger Dryas climate anomaly (cooler/drier) increases with latitude in the Northern Hemisphere, with an opposite pattern (warmer/wetter) in the Southern Hemisphere reflecting a general bipolar seesaw climate response. Global mean temperature decreased by ~0.6°C during the Younger Dryas. Therefore, our analysis supports the paradigm that while the Younger Dryas was a period of global climate change, it was not a major global cooling event but rather a manifestation of the bipolar seesaw driven by a reduction in Atlantic meridional overturning circulation strength.
机译:尽管最后冰消的突然气候事件在两个半球的极地地区的冰芯记录中得到了很好的定义,但它们在其他地方的表现受到的约束却较少。在这里,我们汇编了104条高分辨率古气候记录,以描述上一次冰消期期间气候变化的时间和空间模式。该汇编表明,北部(22.1±4.3。ka和8.0±3.2。ka)和南部(22.3±3.6。ka)的末次冰期最大值(LGM;高峰冰期)和高原热(峰间冰期)相对同时发生。和7.4±3.7。ka)半球,表明半球与温室气体,局部日照和/或北半球引起的海洋环流变化同步。冰川-冰川间温度变化的幅度随纬度的增加而增加,反映出气候变化的极性放大,相对于高原热,在LGM期间,全球平均冷却可能最低为〜-4.9°C。经验正交函数(EOF)分析横跨19-11ka的71条记录表明,两种模式解释了72%的冰河变率。 EOF1(方差的61%)显示出总体上接近均匀的模式,其主要成分(PC1)与大气CO_2的变化密切相关。 EOF2(方差的11%)在半球之间呈现双极跷跷板模式,其主要成分(PC2)类似于大西洋子午线翻转环流强度的变化。对从15到11ka的90条记录进行的EOF分析表明,北部和南部的气候变异模式是Younger Dryas-Billing / Aller?d间隔的特征。这些模式在每个半球的较高纬度占主导,并在热带地区表现出复杂的相互作用。北半球的Younger Dryas气候异常(较冷/较干燥)的幅度随着纬度的增加而增加,而南半球的反常模式(较暖/较湿的)则反映了一般的双极跷跷板气候响应。在年轻树妖的时期,全球平均温度下降了约0.6°C。因此,我们的分析支持以下范例:虽然“年轻树”是一个全球气候变化时期,但它并不是主要的全球降温事件,而是大西洋经线翻转环流强度下降驱动的双极跷跷板的表现。

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