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The effect of indiscriminate nudging time on large and small scales in regional climate modelling: Application to the Mediterranean basin

机译:在区域气候模拟中不加区分的裸露时间对大小尺度的影响:在地中海盆地中的应用

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摘要

A regional climate model (RCM) is driven by the ERA-40 reanalyses produced by the ECMWF general circulation model (GCM) to simulate the winter 1998 climate over the Mediterranean basin. In this article, we consider the effects on internal variabilityof temporal nudging. This technique consists of relaxing the ROM's prognostic variables towards the GCM values within a predetermined time-scale, with the aim of disallowing large and unrealistic departures between driving and driven fields. To interpretthe significant effect of time nudging on the regional climate prediction, we develop a 'toy model' basically consisting of resolving a linear transport equation with a Newtonian relaxation term. This model predicts the existence of an optimal nudging time which depends on the time-scale over which numerical errors affect significantly the accuracy of the 'regional' solution at the large spatial scales, and the typical time-scale of the small-scale phenomena that are not resolved by the GCM.
机译:ECMWF通用循环模型(GCM)进行的ERA-40再分析驱动了区域气候模型(RCM),以模拟地中海盆地1998年冬季的气候。在本文中,我们考虑了时间微调对内部变异性的影响。该技术包括在预定的时间范围内将ROM的预后变量向GCM值放宽,目的是不允许在驱动场和驱动场之间出现较大且不切实际的偏离。为了解释时间微调对区域气候预测的重大影响,我们开发了一个“玩具模型”,该模型基本上由解析带有牛顿松弛项的线性运输方程组成。该模型预测存在最佳的微调时间,该时间取决于数值误差在大空间尺度上显着影响“区域”解的准确性的时间尺度以及小尺度现象的典型时间尺度,该时间尺度由GCM无法解决。

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