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MULTIFRACTAL TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF POSITIVE-INTELLIGENCE AGENT-BASED SIMULATIONS OF FINANCIAL MARKETS

机译:基于正智能Agent的金融市场仿真的多分形时间序列分析

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摘要

To analyze the impact of intelligent traders with differing fundamental motivations on agent-based simulations of financial markets, we extend the classical zero-intelligence model of financial markets to a positive-intelligence model using the MASON agent-based modeling framework. We exploit multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA) to analyze the series of stock prices generated by the positive-intelligence simulation. We study the changes in this output process as analyzed by MF-DFA when altering the mix of agents with competing market philosophies; and we compare and contrast the results of fitting conventional time series models to such output processes with the results of applying MF-DFA to the same processes.
机译:为了分析具有不同基本动机的智能交易者对基于代理的金融市场模拟的影响,我们使用基于MASON代理的建模框架将传统的金融市场零智能模型扩展为正智能模型。我们利用多重分形趋势波动分析(MF-DFA)分析由正智能模拟产生的一系列股价。我们研究了MF-DFA在改变具有竞争性市场理念的代理商组合时这种输出过程的变化。我们将将常规时间序列模型拟合到此类输出过程的结果与将MF-DFA应用于相同过程的结果进行比较和对比。

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