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A BAYESIAN APPROACH FOR MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF CALL CENTER ARRIVALS

机译:呼叫中心到达的建模和分析的贝叶斯方法

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The Poisson process has been widely used in the literature to model call center arrivals. In recent years, however, there have been empirical studies suggesting the call arrival process has significant non-Poisson characteristics. In this paper, we introduce a new doubly stochastic Poisson model for call center arrivals and develop a Bayesian approach for the parameter estimation via the Markov chain Monte Carlo method. The model can well capture the call arrival process as illustrated by a case study.
机译:泊松过程已在文献中广泛用于对呼叫中心到达进行建模。但是,近年来,经验研究表明,呼叫到达过程具有明显的非泊松特征。在本文中,我们引入了一种新的用于呼叫中心到达的双重随机Poisson模型,并开发了一种通过马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛方法进行参数估计的贝叶斯方法。如案例研究所示,该模型可以很好地捕获呼叫到达过程。

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