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Measuring balance and model selection in propensity score methods.

机译:用倾向评分法衡量平衡和选择模型。

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PURPOSE: Propensity score (PS) methods focus on balancing confounders between groups to estimate an unbiased treatment or exposure effect. However, there is lack of attention in actually measuring, reporting and using the information on balance, for instance for model selection. We propose to use a measure for balance in PS methods and describe several of such measures: the overlapping coefficient, the Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance, and the Levy distance. METHODS: We performed simulation studies to estimate the association between these three and several mean based measures for balance and bias (i.e., discrepancy between the true and the estimated treatment effect). RESULTS: For large sample sizes (n = 2000) the average Pearson's correlation coefficients between bias and Kolmogorov-Smirnov distance (r = 0.89), the Levy distance (r = 0.89) and the absolute standardized mean difference (r = 0.90) were similar, whereas this was lower for the overlapping coefficient (r = -0.42). When sample size decreased to 400, mean based measures of balance had stronger correlations with bias. Models including all confounding variables, their squares and interaction terms resulted in smaller bias than models that included only main terms for confounding variables. CONCLUSIONS: We conclude that measures for balance are useful for reporting the amount of balance reached in propensity score analysis and can be helpful in selecting the final PS model.
机译:目的:倾向评分(PS)方法侧重于平衡各组之间的混杂因素,以估计无偏见的治疗或暴露效果。但是,在实际测量,报告和使用平衡信息时,例如模型选择时,缺乏关注。我们建议在PS方法中使用一种度量平衡的方法,并描述其中一些度量:重叠系数,Kolmogorov-Smirnov距离和Levy距离。方法:我们进行了模拟研究,以估计这三种和几种基于均值的平衡和偏倚度量之间的关联(即真实效果与估计的治疗效果之间的差异)。结果:对于大样本量(n = 2000),偏差与Kolmogorov-Smirnov距离(r = 0.89),征税距离(r = 0.89)和绝对标准化平均差(r = 0.90)之间的平均皮尔逊相关系数相似,而对于重叠系数则更低(r = -0.42)。当样本量减少到400时,基于均值的平衡测度与偏倚的关系更强。与仅包含混杂变量主要术语的模型相比,包含所有混杂变量,其平方和交互作用项的模型产生的偏差较小。结论:我们得出结论,平衡的测量对于报告倾向得分分析中达到的平衡量很有用,并且有助于选择最终的PS模型。

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