Prospects for Development of Livestock Production between 2010–2100 Based on Integrated Rural Bioeconomics and Ecoeconomics

摘要

Today, on a global level livestock management is a multifunctional activity. Beyond their direct role in generating food and income, livestock can be a valuable asset, serving as a store of wealth, collateral for credit and an essential safety net during times of crisis. Livestock are also central to mixed farming systems. Demand for livestock products in the future could be heavily moderated by socio-economic factors such as human health concerns and changing socio-cultural values. There is considerable uncertainty as to how these factors will play out in different regions of the world in the coming decades. The paper is divided into 4 sections. The first part makes a short presentation of the effect of livestock production on food security at a global level through the analysis of official statistic data on the evolution of livestock production up to the present as well as an incursion into world data regarding events forecast by experts from FAO, OECD and other known research institutes for alimentary security at a global level up to 2050 and 2100. The second part presents a dynamic analysis of data on a world level regarding the agro–livestock production and correlations with socio-economic factors as well as environmental factors at a global scale. Based on of specific literature presented on the end of paper, and especially of own studies and researches of authors working group made inside the first Post-doctoral School financed by European Union for project with topics: “The Post doctoral School of livestock Biodiversity and Food Biotechnology based on Eco-economy and Bio-economy for Ecosanogenesis”. Are presented more new concepts, terms, and methodological schemes about sustainable development of rural farms. GNIR Holding develops these innovative ideas in context of knowledge based bio-economy for a the most priority strategic national project and integrated through recently objectives of Lisabona 2020 Strategy for smart, sustenable and inclusive growth.