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Optimal control of vaccination and treatment for an SIR epidemiological model

机译:SIR流行病学模型的疫苗接种和治疗的最佳控制

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摘要

We consider an SIR model with variable size population and formulate an optimal control problem subject to the model with vaccination and treatment as controls. Our aim is to find the optimal combination of vaccination and treatment strategies that will minimize the cost of the two control measures as well as the number of infectives. Our model analyses show that the disease free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if the basic reproduction number is less than unity while the endemic equilibrium exists and it is globally asymptotically stable whenever the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. We used Pon-tryagin's maximum principle to characterize the optimal levels of the two controls. The resulting optimality system is solved numerically. The results show that the optimal combination of vaccination and treatment strategy required to achieve the set objective will depend on the relative cost of each of the control measures. The results from our simulation is discussed.
机译:我们考虑具有可变大小种群的SIR模型,并以该模型为基础,以疫苗接种和治疗为对照,制定了一个最优控制问题。我们的目标是找到最佳的疫苗接种和治疗策略组合,以最小化两种控制措施的成本以及感染物的数量。我们的模型分析表明,如果基本繁殖数小于1,则无病平衡在全局渐近稳定,而地方病平衡存在时,只要基本繁殖数大于1,它在全局渐近稳定。我们使用Pon-tryagin的最大原理来表征两个控件的最佳水平。所得的最优系统通过数值求解。结果表明,实现既定目标所需的疫苗接种和治疗策略的最佳组合将取决于每种控制措施的相对成本。讨论了我们的仿真结果。

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