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Country and Regional Perspectives

机译:国家和地区观点

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The global economy seems to be on the verge of recovery. The advanced economies, hit particularly hard by financial crises and the collapse in world trade, are showing signs of stabilization, driven mainly by an unprecedented public policy response. The shape of the recoveries will vary, however, with economies that suffered financial crises likely to experience weaker recoveries than those that were affected mainly by the. collapse in global demand. The rebound in emerging and other developing economies is being led by a resurgence in Asia, most notably in China and India, fuelled by policy stimulus and a turn in the global manufacturing cycle,. Other emerging economies are benefiting from commodity price increases, as well as from policy frameworks that are stronger than during previous crises. However, recovery in the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and emerging Europe is likely to be difficult, especially for economies most affected by sharply falling capital flows and domestic financial sector turmoil.
机译:全球经济似乎正处于复苏的边缘。受金融危机和世界贸易崩溃的打击尤其严重的发达经济体,在出现前所未有的公共政策反应的情况下,出现了稳定的迹象。但是,复苏的形式会有所不同,遭受金融危机的经济体的复苏可能会比受金融危机影响的经济体弱。全球需求崩溃。新兴经济体和其他发展中经济体的反弹是由亚洲(尤其是中国和印度)的复苏带动的,这是在政策刺激和全球制造业周期转变的推动下进行的。其他新兴经济体正在从商品价格上涨以及比以往危机期间更强的政策框架中受益。但是,独立国家联合体(CIS)和新兴欧洲国家可能很难恢复,尤其是对于那些受到资本流动急剧下降和国内金融部门动荡影响最大的经济体而言。

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    《World Economic Outlook》 |2009年第10期|67-91|共25页
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