Forecasting the Level of Reservoirs Using Multiple Input Fuzzification in ANFIS

摘要

Estimation the Level of water is one of the crucial subjects in reservoir management influencing on reservoir operation and decision making. One of the most accurate artificial intelligence model used broadly in water resource aspects is adaptive neuro-fuzzy interface system (ANFIS) taking in to account the membership functions (MF) on the basis of the smoothness characteristics and mathematical components each for set of input data. All researches in hydrological estimation used ANFIS, merely a type of MF has been noticed for all sets of inputs without considering the response of each of them. This study is applying a specified certain MFs for each type of input to improve the accuracy of ANFIS model in forecasting the water level in Klang Gates Dam in Malaysia. On the basis of the previous studies, two most popular MFs, Generalized Bell Shape MF and, Gaussian MF, are employed for examine the new pattern in two inputs ANFIS architecture resulted less stress in error performance, and higher accuracy in estimation, compare to the traditional ANFIS model. The aim is achieved by evaluating the performance in and fitness of the model in daily reservoir estimation.