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Travel mode choice: a data fusion model using machine learning methods and evidence from travel diary survey data

机译:出行方式选择:使用机器学习方法和出行日记调查数据的证据的数据融合模型

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摘要

In this paper, we present a series of machine learning approaches for better understanding people's travel mode choice. The widely used Logit model is dependent on the assumption that the utility items are independent, violating this assumption caused inconsistent parameter estimations and biased predictions. To improve the prediction accuracy of mode choice, this paper employs the data fusion model based on stacking strategy and proposes a hybrid model of the unsupervised Denoising Autoencoder (DAE) combining with the supervised Random Forest (RF). A variety of features that may impact mode choice behavior are ranked and selected by using the feature selection algorithms. The proposed model, which is particularly useful and powerful in the choice behavior analysis and outperforms other widely used classifiers, is verified by travel diary data from Germany and Switzerland. The results can be used for better understanding and effectively modeling of human travel mode choice behavior.
机译:在本文中,我们提出了一系列机器学习方法,以更好地了解人们的出行方式选择。广泛使用的Logit模型依赖于效用项是独立的假设,这违反了由于参数估计和预测有偏差而导致的假设。为了提高模式选择的预测精度,本文采用基于堆叠策略的数据融合模型,提出了无监督去噪自动编码器(DAE)与监督随机森林(RF)相结合的混合模型。使用功能选择算法对可能影响模式选择行为的各种功能进行排名和选择。所提出的模型在选择行为分析中特别有用且功能强大,并且优于其他广泛使用的分类器,该模型已通过德国和瑞士的旅行日记数据进行了验证。结果可用于更好地理解和有效地模拟人类出行方式选择行为。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Transportmetrica》 |2019年第2期|1587-1612|共26页
  • 作者

  • 作者单位

    Beijing Jiaotong Univ State Key Lab Rail Traff Control & Safety Beijing 100043 Peoples R China;

    Beijing Jiaotong Univ State Key Lab Rail Traff Control & Safety Beijing 100043 Peoples R China|Beijing Jiaotong Univ Key Lab Transport Ind Big Data Applicat Technol C Minist Transport Beijing 100044 Peoples R China;

    Beijing Transportat Informat Ctr Beijing Peoples R China;

    Beijing Jiaotong Univ Inst Transportat Syst Sci & Engn Beijing 100043 Peoples R China;

  • 收录信息
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Travel behavior; travel mode choice; machine learning; feature selection; data mining;

    机译:旅行行为;出行方式选择;机器学习特征选择;数据挖掘;

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