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Digesting the safety effectiveness of cable barrier systems by numbers

机译:通过数字总结电缆屏障系统的安全有效性

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This paper presents median cable barrier safety effectiveness by numbers as experienced on Tennessee highways. Apart from descriptive statistics and parametric tests, before and after statistical evaluation utilizing Empirical Bayes (EB) was used to estimate the cable barriers Safety Effectiveness. The findings from the descriptive statistics, paired t-test and EB evaluation were very similar which reinforces the positive safety effectiveness performances of the cable barriers in Tennessee. The study found that the statewide cable barriers Safety Effectiveness (statistical percentage change in crash frequency across all statewide cable barrier segments) for fatal crashes is 94%, incapacitating injury crashes is 92% and fatal and incapacitating injury crashes combined is also 92%. The safety effectiveness for fatal and all injury crashes combined was found to be 85%. In a direct comparison through descriptive statistics, statewide fatal crashes were reduced by 82% after the cable barriers installation while the incapacitating injury crashes were reduced by 76%. In addition, head-on crashes went down by 96% and crashes involving two or more vehicles went down by 92%. Fatalities due to median crossover crashes were reduced by 83% while number of people injured went down by 71% as a result of cable barriers. Through modeling, wider cable offsets and inside shoulders were found to help reduce number of median related crashes while high differential elevations and high posted speed limit segments significantly had higher number of crashes compared to the opposite features. The findings can be used by state transportation agencies as a decision tool when considering installation of median cable barriers as well in determination geometry and traffic factors that play role in enhancing or worsening performance of the median cable barriers. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:本文以田纳西州高速公路上的经验数字表示了电缆屏障安全中位数的有效性。除了描述性统计和参数测试外,在使用经验贝叶斯(EB)进行统计评估之前和之后,还用于估计电缆屏障的安全有效性。描述性统计,配对t检验和EB评估的结果非常相似,这增强了田纳西州电缆屏障的积极安全有效性。该研究发现,全州范围内的电缆屏障对致命事故的安全有效性(全州范围内所有电缆屏障网段的事故频率统计百分比变化)为94%,无能力的伤害事故为92%,致命和无能力的伤害事故总和也为92%。发现致命事故和所有伤害事故的安全总效率为85%。通过描述性统计数据的直接比较,在安装电缆护栏后,全州范围内的致命事故减少了82%,而无能为力的事故崩溃减少了76%。此外,正面碰撞事故减少了96%,涉及两辆或更多车辆的事故减少了92%。由于电缆障碍,因交叉路口中位坠毁造成的死亡人数减少了83%,受伤人数下降了71%。通过建模,发现更宽的电缆偏移量和内部肩部有助于减少中位数相关的撞车次数,而高差高程和高立柱限速段明显地增加了撞车次数。在考虑安装中位电缆屏障以及确定在提高或降低中位电缆屏障性能方面发挥作用的几何形状和交通因素时,国家运输机构可以将这些发现用作决策工具。 (C)2016 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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