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Caution: statistics in this rear-view mirror can be misleading

机译:注意:此后视镜中的统计信息可能会误导

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What do the end-of-year truck registration statistics tell us about suppliers' strengths and weaknesses and about market trends? This year the numbers demand even more careful interpretation than usual, as Tim Blakemore discovered.rnIf ever there was a year in which that well-worn cliche about three kinds of lies (lies, damned lies and statistics) was at home among UK truck registration statistics, 2008 surely would seem to be it. That is not to suggest that last year's figures, collated as always by The Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders (SMMT), are factually inaccurate or designed to be deliberately misleading in any way, but simply by way of a succinct explanation for what looks like a paradox. On the one hand we have the Commercial Vehicle Show Partnership (of which SOE IRTE is a member, together with the SMMT and the Road Haulage Association) last month taking the decision to cancel the 2009 CV Show (due to be held in April at Birmingham's National Exhibition Centre) for the first time in the event's nine-year history. The cancellation seemed almost inevitable from late last year following a string of stand-booking cancellations by truck and van manufacturers (Transport Engineer December 2008). On the other hand we have full-year truck registration statistics published last month by the SMMT revealing that the UK's 3.5-tonnes-plus truck market for 2008 was "the second highest market since 1989", in the words of Stuart Hunt. Until he retires next month (see page 31) Mr Hunt is managing director of Daf Trucks Ltd the top-sellingrntruck-maker in the UK and, by the way, one of the first manufacturers to withdraw from the 2009 show late last year when it became evident that the unprecedented global financial mayhem combined with the UK's deepening recession was wreaking havoc on the order books of all commercial vehicle maufacturers and their suppliers.
机译:年终卡车注册统计数据告诉我们有关供应商的优缺点和市场趋势的信息?正如蒂姆·布莱克莫尔(Tim Blakemore)所发现的那样,今年的数字要求比往常更加谨慎地解释。如果有一年,英国卡车登记中曾经出现过关于三种谎言(谎言,该死的谎言和统计数据)的陈词滥调统计数据显示,2008年肯定会如此。这并不是说去年的数据是由汽车制造商和贸易商协会(SMMT)一如既往地整理的,实际上是不准确的或旨在以任何方式故意误导他人,而只是通过对情况的简要解释一个悖论。一方面,我们与上个月的商用车展合作伙伴关系(SOE IRTE以及SMMT和道路运输协会是该协会的成员)决定取消2009年的CV展(定于4月在伯明翰的汽车展举行)。国家展览中心)是该活动九年来的首次。从去年年底开始,卡车和货车制造商取消了一系列的预定,这似乎是不可避免的(运输工程师,2008年12月)。另一方面,SMMT上个月发布了全年卡车注册统计数据,用斯图尔特·亨特(Stuart Hunt)的话来说,英国2008年3.5吨以上卡车市场是“自1989年以来第二高的市场”。在下个月退休之前(请参阅第31页),亨特先生是英国最畅销的卡车制造商Daf Trucks Ltd的董事总经理,而且,顺便说一句,它是最早于2009年年底退出2009年展会的制造商之一显而易见的是,史无前例的全球金融动荡加上英国不断加深的衰退正对所有商用车制造商及其供应商的订单造成严重破坏。

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    《Transport engineer》 |2008年第6期|20-23|共4页
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  • 入库时间 2022-08-18 02:06:40

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