Global poll predicts US economy rebounding, recession unlikely

摘要

The US receives its highest rating from international investors in more than two years on new optimism that the world's largest economy will weather the financial crisis in Europe and avoid a recession in 2012, according to a Bloomberg poll. More than two in five of those surveyed — 41 per cent — identify the US as among the markets that will perform best over the next year. That's up from less than one in three who felt that way in September and is the biggest percentage for the US since the survey began in October 2009. It's also almost double that of the next two top-rated markets, Brazil and China, according to the quarterly Bloomberg Global Poll conducted December 5-6 of 1,097 invstors, analysts and traders who are Bloomberg subscribers. The US "may not be in the best shape ever, but compared to others it should outperform," Alexis Laming, a poll respondent and associate director for Arab Bank (Switzerland) Ltd in Geneva, says in an email. It has "good growth potential for next year." Less than a quarter of investors say they expect the US to relapse into recession within the next year, according to the poll. In September, half those surveyed forecast a US economic contraction within that time frame.