How Do Rising Powers Rise?

摘要

There are moments in international politics when shifts in power seem particularly acute. One occurred in 1990, with the sudden demise of the Soviet Union. Another may now be upon us, this time ushered in by American over-extension and the 'rise of the rest', which together have shifted the global balance of influence. Some analysts envision a 'post-American world', or use the term 'nonpolarity' to describe a world in which the United States' unipolar moment has passed and no alternative power centres exist. Others focus on the emergence of specific powers or regions, particularly China and India.3 Some of the rise is structural, ironically underpinned by the American commitment to a liberal economic order from which the rising powers have profited enormously.