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Empirical Bayes Spatial Prediction Using A Monte Carlo Em Algorithm

机译:基于蒙特卡洛Em算法的经验贝叶斯空间预测

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摘要

This paper deals with an empirical Bayes approach for spatial prediction of a Gaussian random field. In fact, we estimate the hyperparameters of the prior distribution by using the maximum likelihood method. In order to maximize the marginal distribution of the data, the EM algorithm is used. Since this algorithm requires the evaluation of analytically intractable and high dimensionally integrals, a Monte Carlo method based on discretizing parameter space, is proposed to estimate the relevant integrals. Then, the approach is illustrated by its application to a spatial data set. Finally, we compare the predictive performance of this approach with the reference prior method.
机译:本文采用经验贝叶斯方法对高斯随机场进行空间预测。实际上,我们使用最大似然法来估计先验分布的超参数。为了最大化数据的边际分布,使用了EM算法。由于该算法需要解析难解的高维积分的估计,因此提出了一种基于离散参数空间的蒙特卡罗方法来估计相关积分。然后,通过将该方法应用于空间数据集来说明该方法。最后,我们将这种方法与参考先验方法的预测性能进行了比较。

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