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Analyzing the volume and nature of emergency medical calls during severe weather events using regression methodologies

机译:使用回归方法分析严重天气事件期间紧急医疗电话的数量和性质

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An effective emergency medical service (EMS) response to emergency medical calls during extreme weather events is a critical public service. Nearly all models for allocating EMS resources focus on normal operating conditions. However, public health risks become even more critical during extreme weather events, and hence, EMS systems must consider additional needs that arise during weather events to effectively respond to and treat patients. This paper seeks to characterize how the volume and nature of EMS calls are affected during extreme weather events with a particular focus on emergency prepared ness. In contrast to other studies on disaster relief, where the focus is on delivery of temporary commodities, we focus on the delivery of routine emergency services during blizzards and hurricane evacuations. The dependence of emergency service quality on weather conditions is explored through a case study using real-world data from Hanover County, Virginia. The results suggest that whether it is snowing is significant in nearly all of the regression models. Variables associated with increased highway congestion, which become important during hurricane evacuations, are positively correlated with an increased call volume and the likelihood of high-risk calls. The analysis can aid public safety leaders in preparing for extreme weather events.
机译:在极端天气事件期间对紧急医疗呼叫做出有效的紧急医疗服务(EMS)响应是一项关键的公共服务。几乎所有用于分配EMS资源的模型都集中在正常运行条件下。但是,在极端天气事件中,公共卫生风险变得尤为重要,因此,EMS系统必须考虑在天气事件期间产生的其他需求,以有效地应对和治疗患者。本文试图描述在极端天气事件中EMS呼叫的数量和性质如何受到影响,尤其着重于应急准备。与其他针对disaster灾的研究不同,后者的研究重点是运送临时商品,而我们专注于在暴风雪和飓风撤离期间提供常规紧急服务。通过使用弗吉尼亚州汉诺威县的真实数据进行案例研究,探索了应急服务质量对天气状况的依赖性。结果表明,在几乎所有回归模型中,是否下雪都很重要。与高速公路拥堵相关的变量在飓风撤离过程中变得很重要,这些变量与通话量增加和高风险通话的可能性呈正相关。该分析可以帮助公共安全领导者为极端天气事件做准备。

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