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The Jevons Paradox and Anthropogenic Global Warming: A Panel Analysis of State-Level Carbon Emissions in the United States, 1963-1997

机译:Jevons悖论与人为的全球变暖:美国1963-1997年国家级碳排放量的面板分析

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Between 1963 and 1997, the average carbon emissions intensity of all American states decreased by roughly 30%, meaning there was almost three-tenths less carbon emitted for every dollar of economic growth, adjusting for inflation. However, decreasing emissions intensity did not translate into a reduction in overall carbon emissions. A first-differenced, cross-sectional, autoregressive time-series analysis at the state level reveals that the increase in emissions still depended on inflation-adjusted economic growth, even when controlling for the effects of changes in population size and percent of economy in the industrial sector. For the period examined, 1963-1997, these findings represent the Jevons paradox as emphasized by political economists in environmental sociology. The implications suggest that the benefits to the climate from technological improvements have been minimal because the political economy of capitalism has not been addressed.View full textDownload full textKeywordsecological modernization, emissions intensity, global warming, Jevons paradox, political economyRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08941920903482937
机译:在1963年至1997年之间,美国所有州的平均碳排放强度下降了约30%,这意味着按通货膨胀调整后,每一美元的经济增长所排放的碳几乎减少了十分之三。但是,减少排放强度并不能减少总碳排放量。在州一级进行的一阶,横断面,自回归时间序列分析表明,即使控制人口规模和经济百分比变化的影响,排放量的增加仍然取决于通货膨胀调整后的经济增长。工业部门。在调查的1963年至1997年期间,这些发现代表了环境经济学中政治经济学家所强调的杰文斯悖论。这表明技术进步对气候的好处是微不足道的,因为资本主义的政治经济学尚未得到解决。查看全文下载全文关键词现代化,排放强度,全球变暖,杰文斯悖论,政治经济学相关变量var addthis_config = {ui_cobrand: “泰勒和弗朗西斯在线”,services_compact:“ citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,更多”,发布:“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/08941920903482937

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