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A unifying approach to the analysis of business with random gains

机译:统一分析随机收益业务的方法

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In this paper, we consider a stochastic model in which a business enterprise is subject to constant rate of expenses over time and gains which are random in both time and amount. Inspired by Albrecher & Boxma (2004), it is assumed in general that the size of a given gain has an impact on the time until the next gain. Under such a model, we are interested in various quantities related to the survival of the business after default, which include: (i) the fair price of a perpetual insurance which pays the expenses whenever the available capital reaches zero; (ii) the probability of recovery by the first gain after default if money is borrowed at the time of defau and (iii) the Laplace transforms of the time of recovery and the first duration of negative capital. To this end, a function resembling the so-called Gerber-Shiu function (Gerber & Shiu (1998)) commonly used in insurance analysis is proposed. The function's general structure is studied via the use of defective renewal equations, and its applications to the evaluation of the above-mentioned quantities are illustrated. Exact solutions are derived in the independent case by assuming that either the inter-arrival times or the gains have an arbitrary distribution. A dependent example is also considered and numerical illustrations follow.View full textDownload full textKeywordsRandom gains, Dual risk model, Delayed renewal process, Defective renewal equation, Perpetual insurance, Time of recoveryRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2010.490027
机译:在本文中,我们考虑一种随机模型,其中,企业在一段时间内承受固定费用率,并且在时间和金额上都是随机的。受Albrecher&Boxma(2004)的启发,通常假定给定增益的大小会影响到下一次增益之前的时间。在这种模型下,我们对与违约后的业务生存有关的各种数量感兴趣,其中包括:(i)永久保险的公允价格,只要可用资本达到零,便支付费用; (ii)如果在违约时借钱,则违约后第一个收益恢复的可能性; (iii)恢复时间和负资本的第一个持续时间的拉普拉斯变换。为此,提出了类似于保险分析中常用的所谓Gerber-Shiu函数(Gerber&Shiu(1998))的函数。通过使用缺陷更新方程来研究该函数的一般结构,并说明了该函数在上述数量的评估中的应用。通过假设到达间隔时间或增益具有任意分布,可以在独立情况下得出精确解。还考虑了一个相关示例,并在下面给出了数字插图。查看全文下载全文随机关键字,双重风险模型,延迟续签过程,有缺陷的续签方程式,永久保险,恢复时间相关的var addthis_config = {ui_cobrand:“ Taylor&Francis Online”,services_compact ::“ citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,美味,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,更多”,pubid:“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2010.490027

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