APPLICATION OF THE WIENER PREDICTIVE FILTER AND THE BENIOFF GRAPHS TO FORECAST VRANCEA (ROMANIA) EARTHQUAKES

摘要

In this article I continue the forecasting study of Vrancea earthquakes based on the extrapolation in time of the square root of the seismic energy E_s. For this purpose, I use two alternative approaches based on the theory of Wieners filters and Benioff graphs, respectively. The application of the first method indicates that the next major Vrancea earthquake (M_(GR) > 6.5(6.7)) will occur in the time period 2016-2020, while according to the second method the major event would occur earlier, in the time period 2011-2015.