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ESTIMATING HOUSE PRICE INDEXES IN THE PRESENCE OF SELLER RESERVATION PRICES

机译:有卖方保留价格的房屋价格指数估计

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We analyze a bias in transaction-based price indexes due to the presence of seller reservation prices. We develop a model in which the ratio of sellers' reservation prices to the market value affects trading volume and biases of observed transaction prices: when trading volume decreases (increases), index returns are estimated with an upward (downward) bias. We propose a new econometric procedure to mitigate the bias, and use simulations to demonstrate the effectiveness of the procedure. We construct a reserve-conditional unbiased index for the Los Angeles housing market, which substantially differs from a traditional repeat sale index.
机译:由于卖方保留价格的存在,我们分析了基于交易的价格指数的偏差。我们建立了一个模型,其中卖方的保留价格与市场价值之比会影响交易量和观察到的交易价格的偏差:当交易量减少(增加)时,指数回报将带有向上(向下)偏差。我们提出了一种新的计量经济学程序来减轻偏见,并使用模拟来证明该程序的有效性。我们为洛杉矶住房市场构建了一个储备条件无偏指数,该指数与传统的重复销售指数大不相同。

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