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High and low prices and the range in the European stock markets: A long-memory approach

机译:高低价格和欧洲股市的范围:长记忆方法

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This paper uses fractional integration techniques to examine the stochastic behaviour of high and low stock prices in Europe and then to test for the possible existence of long-run linkages between them by looking at the range, i.e., the difference between the two logged series. Specifically, monthly, weekly and daily data on the following five European stock market indices are analysed: DAX30 (Germany), FTSE100 (UK), CAC40 (France), FTSE MIB40 (Italy) and IBEX35 (Spain). In all cases, the order of integration of the range is lower than that of the original series, which implies the existence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between high and low prices. Further, multiple breaks are found in the high and low-price series but no breaks in the range, and the estimated fractional differencing parameter is positive in all cases, which represents evidence of long memory.
机译:本文采用分数集成技术来研究欧洲高低股价的随机行为,然后通过查看它们的范围,即两个记录系列之间的差异来测试它们之间的长期联动的可能存在。具体而言,分析了以下五个欧洲股票市场指数的每月,每周和日常数据:DAX30(德国),FTSE100(英国),CAC40(法国),FTSE MIB40(意大利)和IBEX35(西班牙)。在所有情况下,该范围的整合顺序低于原始系列的顺序,这意味着在高价和低价之间存在长期均衡关系。此外,在高价序列中发现多次断裂,但在范围内没有断裂,并且在所有情况下,估计的分数差分参数是肯定的,这代表了长记忆的证据。

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