Methodology for generating daily clearness index index values K_t starting from the monthly average daily value K_t. Determining the daily sequence using stochastic models

摘要

The facility to generate weather data from limited inputs and independently of specific locations would allow simulations of energetic systems to be run at locations for which detailed weather records do not exist. This article presents a methodology to calculate synthetic daily solar radiation values and describes how sequences of daily global radiation can be generated using as input the monthly average radiation. A stochastic model, ARIMA( 1, 1, 1) is presented, as well.