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Preface

机译:前言

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摘要

The worldwide population and economic growth is increasing the energy demand at a dramatic pace. Under the IEA scenario of a world population of 10 billion people by 2050, the energy demand will increase from 13.6 TW in 2002 to 33.2 TW. This means 20 TW of additional demand compared to today. If only 50% of this is supposed to be supplied by nuclear energy, this would call for 10,000 new 1 GW power plants to be built until then. This would mean at least 1 new power plant every second day. The available uranium resources, however, would only be sufficient to feed this number of conventional fission reactors for 13-16 years. The only solutions would either be the mining of uranium out of seawater where resources are estimated to be 700 times larger than the terrestrial ones, but much more diluted, or a change to the breeding technology and large plutonium use.
机译:全球人口和经济增长正以惊人的速度增加能源需求。在IEA情景下,到2050年世界人口将达到100亿,能源需求将从2002年的13.6 TW增加到33.2 TW。与今天相比,这意味着有20 TW的额外需求。如果仅其中50%应该由核能提供,那将需要在那时之前建造10,000座新的1 GW电厂。这将意味着每第二天至少有1个新电厂。但是,可利用的铀资源仅足以在13至16年之内供应这种数量的常规裂变反应堆。唯一的解决方案要么是从海水中开采铀,那里的资源估计是陆地资源的700倍,但稀释程度要大得多,或者改变养殖技术和大量使用use。

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