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A multi-objective decision-making approach for sustainable energy investment planning

机译:可持续能源投资计划的多目标决策方法

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Rapidly growing energy needs require sustainable and efficient utilization of natural resources. Thus, meticulous development of long-term energy strategies and the proper planning of energy resources are critical. In this study, the energy-planning problem is investigated by formulating a multi-objective decision-making model under several realistic constraints. As an illustrative example, an energy company's renewable energy planning model is formulated. Specifically, a multi-objective mathematical model under several constraints (some of which are fuzzy) is developed to attain multiple goals simultaneously. Methodologically, (i) the energy company's plans to invest in renewable energy power plants in specific regions are formulated using a 0-1 goal programming approach, (ii) the social acceptance factor included in the model is obtained using the fuzzy Technique for Order Performance by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) method, and (iii) the goals are weighted by designing and implementing an Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) model. According to the results of the developed model, certain renewable energy generation alternatives are superior where the necessary renewable energy resources are efficiently assessed. It is also demonstrated that the proposed integrated analytics approach is capable of providing invaluable insights when the underlying model is systematically evaluated through sensitivity/scenario analyses. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:迅速增长的能源需求需要可持续和有效地利用自然资源。因此,精心制定长期能源战略和正确规划能源资源至关重要。在这项研究中,通过制定在多个现实约束下的多目标决策模型来研究能源计划问题。作为说明性示例,制定了能源公司的可再生能源计划模型。具体而言,开发了在多个约束条件下(其中一些是模糊的)的多目标数学模型,以同时实现多个目标。从方法上讲,(i)能源公司在特定区域投资可再生能源发电厂的计划是使用0-1目标规划方法制定的;(ii)模型中包含的社会接受度是使用模糊的订单绩效技术获得的通过与理想解决方案(TOPSIS)的相似性,以及(iii)通过设计和实施层次分析法(AHP)模型来加权目标。根据已开发模型的结果,在有效评估必要的可再生能源的情况下,某些可再生能源发电替代方案更为优越。还证明了,当通过敏感性/情景分析对基础模型进行系统评估时,所提出的集成分析方法能够提供宝贵的见解。 (C)2018 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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