Climate change and agricultural vulnerability: a case study of rain-fed wheat in Kairouan, Central Tunisia

摘要

In the Maghreb and North African regions, the interannual climate variability causes severe impacts on agriculture through long drought episodes. Impacts are expected to increase due to projected climate change. Decreasing water availability will have a direct impact on the agriculture sector and could endanger the socio-economic development and social stability in Tunisia where rain-fed agriculture represents the main occupancy and means of subsistence for the large rural population.