Regionalization study of a conceptual hydrological model in Dongjiang basin, south China

摘要

Predicting hydrological variables in ungauged catchments has been singled out as one of the major issues in the hydrological sciences. In this study, the conceptual rainfall-runoff model, HBV, was applied to Dongjiang basin and its 13 sub-basins for the purposes of examining the applicability of this well-known model in south China and exploring the possibility of transferring the calibrated parameter values to ungauged basins. For testing the applicability of the model in gauged basins, the model was calibrated for a period of 1978-1983 and validated for a period of 1984-1988. For testing the transferability of parameter values to ungauged basins, two parameter regionalization methods - proxy-basins and global mean - were investigated. The results showed that: 1) the HBV model worked well in the Dongjiang basin with the average indexes of agreement (D) and coefficient of efficiency {ME), respectively, equal to 0.79 and 0.82 in the calibration period, and 0,76 and 0.78 in the validation period; 2) transferring the parameter values from basins that passed the cross-basin test with higher ME values to the hypothetical ungauged catchments produced acceptable results with an average ME value equals to 0.72; 3) compared with the proxy-basin method of parameter estimation, the model produced equally good results for the global mean method with an average ME value equals to 0.74 when using simple arithmetic mean values. Neither the area weighted mean method nor the Thiessen polygon method produced regional parameter values could markedly improve the accuracy of modeling results. It was concluded that both regionalization methods could effectively estimate parameters for ungauged catchments in the Dongjiang basin, and similar model performances were obtained.