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Revisiting stock market integration in Central and Eastern European stock markets with a dynamic analysis

机译:通过动态分析,重新审视中欧和东欧股市的股票市场一体化

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Considering the importance of continuously analysing stock market integration, and based on an earlier study, this paper adopts a sliding windows approach, jointly with the Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis correlation coefficient, in order to assess the evolution of integration in Central and Eastern European stock markets. With this approach, we are able to analyse stock market integration in a dynamic way. Our results show that the stock markets of the Czech Republic, Hungary, Croatia, Poland and Romania are most integrated, while those of Bosnia, Montenegro, Serbia and Slovakia are less so. Moreover, we found that during crises, levels of integration increased, while the Brexit referendum seems to have had the contrary effect on markets. This is important information for investors, for example, when wanting to build portfolios, but also for authorities, for whom the information about correlations could be important in detecting potential price crashes.
机译:考虑到持续分析股票市场集成的重要性,并基于早期的研究,本文采用了一个滑动窗口方法,共同采用了逐步的互相关分析相关系数,以评估中欧和东欧股票集成的演变市场。通过这种方法,我们能够以充满活力的方式分析股票市场集成。我们的研究结果表明,捷克共和国,匈牙利,克罗地亚,波兰和罗马尼亚的股市最集成,而波斯尼亚,黑山,塞尔维亚和斯洛伐克的股票市场较少。此外,我们发现在危机期间,集成水平增加,而Brexit公民推荐似乎对市场产生了相反的影响。这是投资者的重要信息,例如,当想要构建投资组合时,也适用于当局,关于检测潜在价格崩溃的相关信息可能是重要的。

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