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Differences Among Influencing Factors of China's Provincial Energy Intensity: Empirical Analysis from a Geographically Weighted Regression Model

机译:中国省能强度影响因素的差异:从地理加权回归模型的实证分析

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摘要

China has the highest level of energy consumption in the world with comparatively low-level energy efficiency. Moreover, energy intensity varies greatly in the different provinces. It is necessary to find out the differences of influencing factors in various provinces in order to improve energy utilization while reducing the energy efficiency lags. Based on the panel data from 1995-2017, this paper investigates the driving factors of energy intensity through the spatial Durbin model. Then, in consideration of the inconsistency of the explanatory variables in different regions, the GWR model was established. The empirical results show that six factors have different impacts on local and surrounding areas in general. And the impact of six factors changed in research years as it was shown to be very different through the spatial distribution map. 30 provinces were finally divided into 7 groups according to various key impacts. Consequently, the government should take the differences of impacts in various provinces into account to formulate policies in reducing energy intensity.
机译:中国在世界上具有最高的能源消耗水平,能效相对较低。此外,在不同的省份中,能量强度变化很大。有必要找出各种省份的影响因素的差异,以提高能源利用,同时降低能源效率滞后。基于1995 - 2017年的面板数据,本文调查了通过空间德宾模型的能量强度的驱动因素。然后,考虑到不同区域中的解释变量的不一致,建立了GWR模型。经验结果表明,六个因素通常对本地和周围地区产生不同的影响。并且,六个因素在研究年内改变的影响,因为它在空间分布图中显示出非常不同。 30个省份最终根据各种关键影响分为7组。因此,政府应考虑到各省的影响差异,以制定降低能源强度的政策。

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