First climate model forecast comes true

摘要

For the first time, the forecast from a climate model has been put to the test. It passed with flying colours -accurate to within a few hundredths of a degree. The prediction was made in 1999, based on data collected before 1996, and comes from one of several models used by the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) to predict the outcomes of different warming scenarios. But sceptics claimed that it was wrong because it failed to predict the recent slowdown in the rate of warming.