An Attribute Synthetic Evaluation System for Risk Assessment of Floor Water Inrush in Coal Mines

摘要

An attribute synthetic evaluation system was combined with attribute mathematical theory and the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to evaluate the risk of floor water inrush in coal mines. The evaluation indices of floor water inrush were divided into continuous variable indices, which were quantitatively graded according to floor water inrush risk and discrete variable indices, which were qualitatively graded by expert opinion. Single index attribute measurement functions were constructed to calculate the membership degree of the continuous variable indices. The membership degree of the discrete variable indices were evaluated using expert opinion eliciting techniques, such as the Delphi method. The contribution weighting of the evaluation indices were rationally distributed by the AHP. A confidence criterion was applied to discern the risk of floor water inrush. These results were compared with those from a secondary fuzzy comprehensive evaluation; the results from the present method agrees well with field-observed results. This approach provides a referential methodology for engineers to systematically assess and manage risk of floor water inrush in coal mines.