Modeling and Development of Course of Action by Considering Uncertainty and Antagonism

摘要

The development of a course of action (COA) is a key step in military planning. Literature on COA development only presents unilateral actions of friendly forces. Considering the antagonism of war, we propose models that contain actions of both the friendly force and the enemy based on multistage games. The influence net is used to analyze the uncertain relationships between actions and battlefield situations. Models of multistage games with complete and incomplete information are set up separately to handle different conditions. Numerical examples illustrate the models and solutions, which show that the developed COA is suitable for antagonistic situations.