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Modelling disease spread in dispersal networks at two levels

机译:在两个层次上模拟疾病在分散网络中的传播

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A network model at both the population and individual levels, which simulates both between-patch and within-patch dynamics, is proposed. We investigated the effects of dispersal networks and distribution of local dynamics on the outcome of an epidemic at the population level. Numerical studies show that disease control on random networks may be easier than on small-world networks, depending on the initial distribution of the local dynamics. Spatially separating instead of gathering patches where disease locally persists is beneficial to global disease control if dispersal networks are a type of small-world networks. Dispersal networks with higher degree lead to a higher mean value of R0. Furthermore, irregularity of network and randomization are beneficial to disease stabilization and greatly affect the resulting global dynamics.
机译:提出了在种群和个体水平上的网络模型,该模型可以模拟补丁之间和补丁内部的动态。我们调查了分散网络和局部动态分布对人群一级流行病后果的影响。数值研究表明,取决于局部动力学的初始分布,随机网络上的疾病控制可能比小世界网络上的疾病控制更容易。如果分散网络是小世界网络的一种类型,则在空间上分离而不是在局部疾病持续存在的地方收集斑块,有利于全球疾病控制。高度分散的网络导致R 0 的平均值更高。此外,网络的不规则性和随机性有利于疾病稳定,并极大地影响了由此产生的整体动态。

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