THE DIAGNOSTIC ANALYSIS OF THE RAPID CHANGE IN TROPICAL CYCLONES INTENSITY BEFORE LANDFALL IN SOUTH CHINA

摘要

Sudden changes in the intensity of the tropical cyclone (TC) are a difficult issue to be tackled. Few of the previous works dealt with the characteristics of large-scale circulation background of TCs that experience sudden intensity changes prior to landfall. Studies that do address the issue are only case-based, which do not isolate large-scale circulation background common to all cases, whether it be favorable or not. By diagnostically studying large-scale characteristics of two categories of TCs, one intensifying and the other weakening, suddenly, before making landfall on the area of South China, the current work attempts to support the prediction of TC intensity.