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Decision making and age: Factors influencing decision making under uncertainty

机译:决策和年龄:不确定性下影响决策的因素

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摘要

In the present study, we investigate how decision making under uncertainty is affected by age. We ran two experiments with young and older adults, systematically manipulating (1) uncertainty conditions (risk and ambiguity), (2) feedback on decisions and (3) requirements of the task regarding executive functions. Experiment 1 aims at investigating risk with a priori probabilities and ambiguity and the effects of feedback in a card game (N = 200; older adults: 97). The results reveal no age differences in choice behaviour under risk with a priori probabilities. If feedback is provided, we find that older adults are less ambiguity averse than young adults, whereas there is no significant age difference if no feedback is provided. Moreover, the presence of feedback had a positive effect on the propensity to gamble in uncertain conditions by influencing subjective probabilities for both age groups. Experiment 2 uses the Balloon Analogue Risk Task (BART) to investigate decision making with statistical probabilities (N = 100; older adults: 50). Here we report older adults being more risk averse, an effect that can be explained with age differences in sensitivity to prior choices. We support the results by comparing them to survey data and conclude that differences in uncertainty-processing exist between young and older adults. Possible explanations of these differences are discussed.
机译:在本研究中,我们调查不确定性下的决策如何受年龄影响。我们对年轻人和老年人进行了两个实验,系统地操纵(1)不确定性条件(风险和歧义),(2)决策反馈和(3)执行功能任务要求。实验1旨在调查具有先验概率和歧义性的风险以及纸牌游戏中反馈的影响(N = 200;成年人:97)。结果显示,在具有先验概率的风险下,选择行为没有年龄差异。如果提供反馈,我们发现老年人比年轻人更能避免歧义,而如果不提供反馈,则年龄差异不大。此外,反馈的存在通过影响两个年龄组的主观概率,对不确定条件下的赌博倾向产生积极影响。实验2使用气球模拟风险任务(BART)来调查具有统计概率的决策(N = 100;成年人:50)。在这里,我们报告老年人对风险的规避性更高,这一影响可以通过对先前选择的敏感性上的年龄差异来解释。我们通过将结果与调查数据进行比较来支持结果,并得出结论,年轻人和老年人之间在不确定性处理方面存在差异。讨论了这些差异的可能解释。

著录项

  • 来源
    《Journal of socio-economics》 |2018年第10期|43-54|共12页
  • 作者单位

    Univ Erlangen Nurnberg, Lehrstuhl Volkswirtschaftslehre, Insb Wirtschaftstheorie, Lange Gasse 20, D-90403 Nurnberg, Germany;

    SRH Univ Appl Sci Heidelberg, Div Clin & Biol Psychol, Dept Appl Psychol, Maria Probst Str 3, D-69123 Heidelberg, Germany;

    Goethe Univ Frankfurt, Dept Psychol, Mertonstr 17, D-60325 Frankfurt, Germany;

    Heidelberg Univ, Alfred Weber Inst Wirtschaftswissensch, Bergheimer Str 58, D-69115 Heidelberg, Germany;

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  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
  • 中图分类
  • 关键词

    Age differences; Experiment; Risk; Ambiguity; Feedback;

    机译:年龄差异;实验;风险;歧义;反馈;

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