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A combination of differentiation and consolidation theory and risk-benefit analysis to examine decisions on mastitis prevention

机译:结合分化与巩固理论和风险收益分析来研究乳腺炎预防的决策

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Mastitis infections cause severe pain in dairy cows and are the most costly illness to farmers. This study combined differentiation and consolidation (Diff-Con) theory with risk-benefit analysis to explore how risky decisions are perceived and justified after a decision has been taken. More specifically, using survey data from 428 Swedish dairy farmers, their decisions about adopting preventive measures to control mastitis (mastitis control options, MCO) in dairy herds were examined. The analyses included group comparisons with non-parametric rank tests and use of both ordinary least squared regression and seemingly unrelated regression analysis to examine how prior adoption of MCO affects farmers' attitudes to the MCO. The results showed that MCOs already adopted were rated higher in perceived riskiness (if not implemented) and in expected benefit (for illness prevention) than non-adopted MCOs. Having made the decision to implement a strategy increased the likelihood of that decision being perceived as more beneficial (reducing mastitis) and risky (in terms of disease increase if not implemented), irrespective of the combination of strategies used on the farm, during the post-consolidation stage. No difference in perceived illness prevalence could explain the farmers' rating of the MCOs. These findings suggest that there may be a path dependency in farmers' decision-making with respect to MCO. This implies that novel MCOs may have difficulty in achieving wider implementation. These results have implications for the development of strategies to communicate best practices for use of MCOs and for new research on MCOs and farmers' decision-making.
机译:乳腺炎的感染会给奶牛带来严重的痛苦,并且是农民最昂贵的疾病。这项研究将差异和合并(Diff-Con)理论与风险收益分析相结合,以探讨在做出决定后如何感知和证明有风险的决定。更具体地说,使用来自428位瑞典奶农的调查数据,他们对采取预防措施控制奶牛群中乳腺炎(乳腺炎控制方案,MCO)的决定进行了检查。这些分析包括使用非参数等级检验进行的组比较,以及使用普通最小二乘回归和看似无关的回归分析,以检验先前采用MCO如何影响农民对MCO的态度。结果表明,与未采用的MCO相比,已采用的MCO在感知风险(如果未实施)和预期收益(用于疾病预防)方面的评级更高。决定实施一项策略后,无论后期在农场中采用何种策略,该决定被认为更有利(减少乳腺炎)和风险(如果未实施则增加疾病)的可能性更大。 -巩固阶段。认为患病率没有差异可以解释农民对MCO的评级。这些发现表明,农民对MCO的决策可能存在路径依赖。这意味着新颖的MCO可能难以实现更广泛的实施。这些结果对制定沟通战略以交流使用MCO的最佳做法以及对MCO和农民决策的新研究具有重要意义。

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