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The Subprime Solution: How Today's Global Financial Crisis Happened, And What To Do About It

机译:次贷解决方案:当今的全球金融危机如何发生以及如何应对

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Ever since 2007, we started to hear about the crisis of Northern Rock Building Society in the UK, then the collapse of Lehman Brothers in the USA and so on. During the past year, every day when we turned on the television or read the newspaper, we would always hear terms such as "subprime crisis" or "credit crunch". They might be ranked as the most frequently used terms of the year. In considering the wide spread of this financial crisis, there is one simple question that every layman to expert would like to ask "What on earth has gone wrong?" We know that ever since the 1950s, financial economists have developed sophisticated financial models to quantify and manage investment risks. These models are covered in any financial textbooks, and taught in almost all finance and investment related programmes. So in theory, financial practitioners should have been well trained in these models and should have known how to make appropriate investment decisions. So why did this credit crunch occur and why was it on such a large scale? Bearing these questions in mind, this recent and timely publication by Professor Robert Shiller caught my attention. Within the 196 pages, Professor Shiller uses simple language to explain the fundamental problems of this subprime crisis, and provides some short-term as well as long-term solutions to it.
机译:自2007年以来,我们开始听说英国的北岩建筑协会(Northern Rock Building Society)危机,然后是美国的雷曼兄弟(Lehman Brothers)倒闭等。在过去的一年中,每天我们打开电视或阅读报纸时,我们总会听到诸如“次贷危机”或“信贷紧缩”之类的术语。它们可能被列为一年中最常用的术语。在考虑这场金融危机的广泛蔓延时,有一个简单的问题,每个专家的专家都想问:“到底出了什么问题?”我们知道,自1950年代以来,金融经济学家已经开发出复杂的金融模型来量化和管理投资风险。这些模型在所有金融教科书中都有涉及,并且在几乎所有与金融和投资相关的计划中都有讲授。因此,从理论上讲,金融从业人员应该已经在这些模型中接受了良好的培训,并且应该知道如何制定适当的投资决策。那么,为什么会发生这种信贷紧缩呢?为什么会如此大规模?考虑到这些问题,Robert Shiller教授最近及时发表的这本书引起了我的注意。在196页中,席勒教授使用简单的语言来解释此次贷危机的基本问题,并提供了一些短期和长期的解决方案。

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