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Does financial development cause economic growth? Implication for policy in Korea

机译:金融发展会导致经济增长吗?对韩国政策的影响

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The causal relationship between financial development and economic growth is examined, utilizing the superexogeneity methodology. We use annual data for Korea during 1971-2002, during which Korea has experienced both phenomenal economic growth and a variety of financial liberalization and reforms. In our tests for superexogeneity, we find that financial development control causes economic growth, but the reverse is not true. Our empirical results provide evidence in favor of the 'finance causes growth' view for the case of Korea while rejecting the 'growth causes finance' view. The policy implication is that Korea should give policy priority to financial reform rather than economic growth, because only a decisive and accelerated pace of financial restructuring can ensure a sustainable growth in the medium or long term.
机译:利用超外生性方法研究了金融发展与经济增长之间的因果关系。我们使用1971-2002年韩国的年度数据,在此期间,韩国经历了惊人的经济增长以及各种金融自由化和改革。在对超外生性的检验中,我们发现金融发展控制会导致经济增长,但事实并非如此。我们的经验结果为韩国的情况提供了支持“财务导致增长”观点的证据,而拒绝了“增长导致财务”观点。政策含义是,韩国应将政策改革置于金融改革的优先地位,而不是经济增长,因为只有果断和加快金融重组的步伐,才能确保中长期的可持续增长。

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