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Persistence in Some Energy Futures Markets

机译:某些能源期货市场的持续性

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摘要

In this study, we examine the possibility of long-range dependence in some energy futures markets for different maturities. In order to test for persistence, we use a variety of techniques based on non-parametric, semi-parametric and parametric methods. The results indicate that there is little or no evidence of long memory in gasoline, propane, oil and heating oil at different maturities. However, when we focus on the volatility process, proxied by the absolute returns, we find strong evidence of long memory in all the variables at different contracts.
机译:在这项研究中,我们研究了在某些到期日不同的能源期货市场中长期依赖的可能性。为了测试持久性,我们使用了基于非参数,半参数和参数方法的多种技术。结果表明,很少或没有证据表明在不同成熟度的汽油,丙烷,机油和取暖油中有很长的记忆力。但是,当我们关注波动率过程时,以绝对收益为代表,我们发现了不同合约所有变量长期记忆的有力证据。

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