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EFFECT OF SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS ON MUNICIPAL SOLID WASTE GENERATION IN SERBIA

机译:社会经济因素对塞尔维亚城市固体废物产生的影响

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摘要

Waste management is one of the major challenges for developing countries. Increasing of global waste production is often addressed to population growth, intensive rural-urban migration, economic and social development. Awareness of these changes contributes to more realistic planning and investments in the municipal solid waste (MSW) management system. According to the literature age structure, average income, and the unemployment rate are important factors correlated with waste generation rate. Therefore, this research was conducted with the aim to investigate if there is an effect of the socio-economic factors, such as age structure, income level, and unemployment on MSW generation in Serbia. Data were collected at the country level for the ten year period from 2008 to 2017. Correlation analysis was used to determine age group with largest contribution to MSW generation rate. Then, additional variables were included in multiple regression analysis (enter model), for further explanation of the impact that socio-economic factors have on waste generation rate. The results showed strong joint influence of the increasing number of working-age population, decreasing number of unemployed, as well as higher average monthly income on the dependent variable. More than 80% of the variation waste generation rate is explained by the model.
机译:废物管理是发展中国家面临的主要挑战之一。全球废物生产的增加通常涉及人口增长,城乡人口密集迁移,经济和社会发展。意识到这些变化有助于对城市固体废物(MSW)管理系统进行更切合实际的计划和投资。根据文献的年龄结构,平均收入和失业率是与废物产生率相关的重要因素。因此,进行这项研究的目的是调查是否存在社会经济因素(例如年龄结构,收入水平和失业)对塞尔维亚城市生活垃圾产生的影响。从2008年到2017年的十年期间,在国家一级收集了数据。使用相关分析确定对MSW产生率影响最大的年龄组。然后,在多元回归分析(输入模型)中包括了其他变量,以进一步解释社会经济因素对废物产生率的影响。结果表明,工作年龄人口的增加,失业人数的减少以及因变量所带来的平均月收入的增加具有强烈的共同影响。该模型解释了超过80%的变化废物产生率。

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