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Dynamic input-output analysis for energy metabolism system in the Province of Guangdong, China

机译:广东省能量代谢系统的动态投入产出分析

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摘要

The development of human society is inseparable from energy. The exploration of urban energy metabolism plays an essential role in improving sustainable development. Combing input-output analysis with ecological network analysis help academics to shed light into the complicated system interactions and interior energy flows. In this study, using Guangdong as a case study, the Energy Ecological Network model is developed to account for the intensity of the embodied energy consumption using monetary input-output tables from 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007, 2010, and 2012. Sectors and energy flows are treated as nodes and paths to compile the corresponding physical input-output tables, which can facilitate a more comprehensive and balanced understanding of urban energy consumption by integrating various accounting perspectives. In detail, network control analysis is extended to reveal inter relationships and relative contribution rate of each sector. Network utility analysis gives an overall consideration of the dynamic changes in energy metabolism relations from multiple perspective. Furthermore, the modified robustness method penetrates into how each sector affects the stability of the system. The results show that the energy metabolic level in Guangdong is relatively low and indirect flows are the key to improving the system efficiency. The advanced manufacturing (AM) sector relied on other sectors in energy trade and have limited reciprocal relationships in the study period. Therefore, it is urgent to adjust the external structure and internal circulation of AM sector. The comprehensive dynamic analysis will give a scientific support to guide the development of energy reform in an attempt to promoting healthier development of energy metabolism system. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:人类社会的发展离不开能源。探索城市能量代谢在促进可持续发展中起着至关重要的作用。将投入产出分析与生态网络分析相结合,有助于学者们了解复杂的系统相互作用和内部能量流。在本研究中,以广东省为例,建立了能源生态网络模型,使用2000年,2002年,2005年,2007年,2010年和2012年的货币投入产出表来计算体现的能源消耗强度。能源流被视为编制相应的物理投入产出表的节点和路径,可通过整合各种核算视角来促进对城市能源消耗的更全面和平衡的理解。详细地,网络控制分析被扩展以揭示每个部门之间的相互关系和相对贡献率。网络效用分析从多个角度全面考虑了能量代谢关系的动态变化。此外,改进的鲁棒性方法渗透到每个扇区如何影响系统的稳定性。结果表明,广东省的能量代谢水平较低,间接流动是提高系统效率的关键。在研究期间,先进制造业(AM)部门依赖于能源贸易中的其他部门,并且相互关系有限。因此,迫切需要调整增材制造部门的外部结构和内部流通。综合动力分析将为指导能源改革发展提供科学支持,以期促进能量代谢系统的健康发展。 (C)2018 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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