The 'Belt and Road Initiative' in the discourses of the Central Asian states: political rhetoric of growth and academic prognostication

摘要

As official discourses throughout Central Asia reflect, China's 'Belt and Road Initiative' has become very attractive to the local regimes. They perceive it as corresponding to the urgent need to achieve social and economic growth and maintain alternatives for international cooperation. Political elites have incorporated the BRI-agenda into their rhetoric of growth and actively promote the idea of BRI's 'conjugation' with local development plans. The success of the initiative, however, differs from state to state. The BRI-related narratives of local expert communities mainly correspond to the goals set by the officials. At the same time, local experts elucidate important issues, such as BRI's impact on national security, Chinese migration, and public discontent. These elucidations may adjust the official stand towards the BRI. The possibility of such adjustments, varying in different Central Asian states, depends in each case on the openness of a regime to scholarly prognostications.