Evaluation of Hurricane Resilience of Residential Community Considering a Changing Climate, Social Disruption Cost, and Environmental Impact

摘要

Hurricane resilience has been identified as an effective metric for the risk assessment of residential communities. The potential effects of a changing climate and environmental impact could severely aggravate the monetary losses of a residential community caused by hurricane events. An existing framework was used to evaluate hurricane resilience of a residential community, which includes hurricane fragility, reliability (e.g., annual probability of failure), loss, and recovery time analyses. However, the existing framework could overestimate hurricane resilience by not considering the potential effects of a changing climate or social disruption and environmental costs. The aim of this paper was to improve the existing framework and investigate the sensitivity of hurricane resilience of communities by including three key components: a changing climate, a social disruption cost, and an environmental cost. Hurricane simulation models in the framework include both stationary and nonstationary wind scenarios. The improved framework can be used by stakeholders to achieve the performance goal of hurricane resilience of a residential community.