Use of visual range measurements to predict fine particulate matter exposures in Southwest Asia and Afghanistan

摘要

Military personnel deployed to Southwest Asia and Afghanistan were exposed to high levels of ambient particulate matter (PM). However, quantitative ambient exposure data for conducting health studies are limited due to a lack of PM monitoring stations. Since visual range (VR) is proportional to particle light extinction, VR can serve as a surrogate for PM_(2.5) (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 urn) concentrations. We used data on VR, relative humidity (RH), and PM_(2.5) ground measurements collected in Kuwait from years 2004-2005 to establish the relationship between PM_(2.5) and VR. Model validation obtained by regressing trimester average PM_(2.5) predictions against PM_(2.5) measurements in Kuwait produced an r~2 value of 034. Cross validation of urban and rural sites in Kuwait also revealed good model fit. We applied this relationship to location-specific visibility data at 104 regional sites between years 2000-2012 to estimate monthly average PM_(2.5) concentrations. Monthly averages at sites in Iraq, Afghanistan, United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Djibouti, and Qatar ranged from 10 to 365 ug/m3 during this period, while site averages ranged from 22 to 80 ug/m3, indicating considerable spatial and temporal heterogeneity in ambient PM_(2.5) across these regions. These data support the use of historical visibility data to estimate location-specific PM_(2.5) concentrations for application in epidemiological studies. Implications: This study demonstrates the ability to use airport visibility to estimate PM2^ concentrations in Southwest Asian and Afghanistan. This supports the use of historical and ongoing visibility data to estimate PM_(2.5) exposure in this region of the world, where PM exposure information is otherwise scarce. This is of high utility to epidemiologists investigating the relationship between chronic exposure to PM_(2.5) and respiratory diseases among deployed military personnel stationed at various military bases throughout the region. Such information will enable the drafting of improved policies relating to military health.