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Regional Economic Integration in Africa: A Review of Problems and Prospects with a Case Study of COMESA

机译:非洲区域经济一体化:以东南非共同市场为例的问题与前景回顾

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摘要

Major issues of regional economic integration in Africa could be grouped into two interrelated broad areas: issues of implementation and the limitation of insight form both the theoretical and empirical literature regarding the specific approaches that are appropriate for the continent. Implementation issues cover the economic, political and institutional constraints that surface at the implementation stage of economic integration treaties. The approach issue refers to the menu of options available to pursue economic integration. These options range from a step-wise bilateral cooperation to continent-wide integration. This paper critically reviews these issues and tests the determinants of trade flows using the experience of COMESA as a case study. The major conclusions that emerge from the study are, first, bilateral trade flows among the regional groupings could be explained by standard variables as demonstrated by the results of the conventional gravity model. The result shows that regional groupings had insignificant effect on the flow of bilateral trade. Second, the review of the issues indicates that the performance of regional blocs is mainly constrained by problems of variation in initial condition, compensation issues, real political commitment, overlapping membership, policy harmonisation, lack of diversification and poor private sector participation. These problems seem to have made building successful economic groupings in Africa a daunting task, despite its perceived importance in the increasingly globalised world.
机译:非洲区域经济一体化的主要问题可以分为两个相互关联的广泛领域:实施问题和见识的局限性,从理论和实证文献两方面就适用于非洲大陆的具体方法进行了阐述。实施问题涵盖了经济一体化条约实施阶段所面临的经济,政治和体制限制。进场问题是指可进行经济一体化的选项菜单。这些选择包括逐步的双边合作到整个非洲大陆的一体化。本文以COMESA的经验为例,对这些问题进行了严格的审查,并检验了贸易流量的决定因素。该研究得出的主要结论是,首先,区域分组之间的双边贸易流量可以用标准变量解释,如传统引力模型的结果所示。结果表明,区域分组对双边贸易流的影响不大。其次,对这些问题的审查表明,区域集团的表现主要受到初始条件变化,薪酬问题,真正的政治承诺,成员重叠,政策协调,缺乏多元化和私营部门参与不力等问题的制约。尽管人们意识到非洲在日益全球化的世界中的重要性,但这些问题似乎使在非洲建立成功的经济集团成为一项艰巨的任务。

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