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POLITICAL ACCOUNTABILITY, ELECTORAL CONTROL AND MEDIA BIAS

机译:政治责任,选举控制和媒体偏见

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摘要

Are anti-establishment mass media really useful in preventing politicians from behaving dishonestly? This paper models the direction of media bias, and shows that the probability of a dishonest action by an incumbent is higher (than that in the case of no media bias) if and only if the mass media have some degree of "anti-incumbent" bias (i.e. information favourable to the incumbent is converted into unfavourable news about the incumbent with a positive probability), provided that the incumbent is less likely to be opportunistic than a challenger in the upcoming election. This result holds irrespective of the degree of "pro-incumbent" bias.
机译:反建制大众媒体真的对防止政客不诚实行事有用吗?本文模拟了媒体偏向的方向,并表明,当且仅当大众媒体具有某种程度的“反现任”时,任职者不诚实行动的概率才更高(比没有媒体偏见的情况下更高)。偏见(即,有利于在位者的信息会以正概率转换为关于在位者的不利消息),前提是在即将举行的选举中,比起挑战者,现任者不太可能是机会主义者。该结果保持不变,而与“亲任”偏见的程度无关。

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