A comparative study on prediction of throughput in coal ports among three models

摘要

Three forecasting models, i.e., the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), the neural network with back-propagation algorithm (BP), and a hybrid approach called APSO-LSSVM, are presented in this paper to predict the throughput of coal ports. A comparative study on the prediction accuracy among the three models is conducted. The purpose of this comparative study is to provide some useful guidelines for selecting a more accurate model to predict the throughput. The comparative results experimentally show that, in comparison with LSSVM and BP, the APSO-LSSVM has the more accurate accuracy and the better generalization performance regarding the indexes average error, mean absolute error and mean squared error.