Enduring Inefficiencies in Counterintelligence by Reducing Type Ⅰ and Type Ⅱ Errors Through Parallel Systems: A Principal-Agent Typology

摘要

A lot of time we are chasing shadows, but it's better to do that than find out later you let something get by. (An FBI field agent-Type Ⅰ Error or a false positive). The best chance for success [terrorists] have is to get somebody who is not a visitor [to] come in as a permanent resident or citizen, who knows the culture and how to move around, who doesn't have a record, so as not to get picked up by a database. (A former senior U.S. intelligence official－ Type II Error or a false negative).